Wow, was last week ugly, both for the Jets and for my picks. 0-2-1 doesn't look as bad as 45-3, but both amounted for the same amount of wins. I'm now 19-15-2, trying to avoid an epic collapse back towards .500. Time for a bounceback week!
Bengals +9.5 over Steelers
Contrary to popular belief, the Bengals have not quit. They aren't very good, but they're still trying. And in a rivalry game, look for the Bengals to put out another good effort to try and halt their nine game winning streak. There's plenty of motivation: Carson Palmer want to keep their jobs, Terrell Owens and Marvin Lewis want to earn jobs elsewhere, and Chad Ochocinco wants to remain relevant. Pittsburgh is coming off a massive win against Baltimore, so they're in a letdown spot. They should win at home, but the Steelers aren't good enough in the trenches on offense to make this a blowout.
Steelers 20, Bengals 17
Cowboys +3.5 over Eagles
Dallas has its swagger back. For four weeks, the Cowboys have played like one of the best teams in the NFC. Philadelphia is one of the best teams in the NFC, but giving more than a field goal on the road to a divisional rival playing as well as Dallas is right now is risky business. Dez Bryant is out, but so are Winston Justice and Asante Samuel for Philadelphia. But where Dallas will make its mark is by running the football. Tashard Choice has infused life into a previously dormant running game, and he and Felix Jones will give the Cowboys a big boost. This is a coinflip game, and in that case, I'll take over a field goal with the home team.
Cowboys 28, Eagles 27
Packers -6.5 over Lions
Drew Stanton, folks. Sure, he played well against a good defense in Chicago. But they had very little gamefilm on Drew Stanton. The Packers just saw him start last week, and their opportunistic pass defense should be able to make some plays. Green Bay's offense will be able to throw the ball on the Lions, and then Stanton will throw some interceptions trying to catch up. This could be a sweat heading into halftime, but like the Thanksgiving game against the Patriots, this should end up as a double digit win.
Packers 31, Lions 20