Sunday, December 5, 2010

NFL Picks - Week 13

A 2-1 last week gets me back on the right track. I now sit at 19-13-1 on the year. Unless I collapse in the last 5 weeks, a winning season is definitely in sight. My goal of 30 wins will not be easy, but handicapping football games never is! I like these picks a lot this week, and I'm hoping to get another winning week here, maybe even a sweep!

Bills +5.5 over Vikings
Buffalo is simply playing a lot better right now than Minnesota. With Percy Harvin not playing, the Vikings' offense is now a lot less explosive than it otherwise would be. Steve Johnson has become a big-time receiver, and after last week's disappointing performance, look for him to have a big bounceback week. Ryan Fitzpatrick has played well this year, and 5.5 points is simply too much for a spotty Vikings team to give the Bills.
Bills 24, Vikings 22

Titans -2.5 over Jaguars
Tennessee has struggled of late, but this is an overreaction to last week's home shutout loss. Rusty Smith won't be starting this week, it'll be Kerry Collins. Jacksonville is lucky to be where they are with a Hail Mary victory and another win on a 58-yard field goal. The Titans need this game, and in a cold weather game in Tennessee, a Jacksonville team used to warm weather just won't have enough weapons to keep up with the Titans.
Titans 24, Jaguars 17

Bears -4 over Lions
I usually like the Lions as home underdogs, but not with Drew Stanton at quarterback. Stanton is simply not an NFL quarterback, and the Bears defense will feast on him. As long as Ndamukong Suh doesn't absolutely destroy the Bears' interior line, Jay Cutler should be able to make some big plays down the field which Stanton won't be able to make nearly as well. The Bears have one of the best defenses in the NFL, and it will shut down the Lions offense today.
Bears 27, Lions 16

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