After a 1-1-1 week last week, my season record now sits at 15-8-1. Had a hard time narrowing this week's picks down to three, but with the games less than an hour away, time to pull the trigger!
Houston over Jacksonville, pick-em
Neither team can stop the pass, but the key is that the Texans simply have more talent. Coming off two tough losses in a row to Indianapolis and San Diego, Houston's backs are against the wall. So are Jacksonville's, but they don't have Andre Johnson. Houston will win this game because they have more ways to beat you offensively. Expect this game to be a shootout, but Jacksonville can't get to the quarterback or pass quite well enough to keep up with the Texans, who will eventually pull away.
Texans 34, Jaguars 28
Minnesota -1.5 over Chicago
The Bears are the worst 5-3 team in the league. Minnesota is 3-5 but has played a murderer's row of opponents. Of course, the Cardinals last week weren't one of them, but the Vikings found a way late to win that game. Chicago will have trouble with what Minnesota brings to the table: a disruptive defensive line and a star runningback. The Vikings will be able to run the ball and keep Cutler under pressure. Cutler will hit a few deep passes but not enough to outduel the Vikings, who will dominate the point of attack.
Vikings 24, Bears 20
Jets -3.5 over Browns
I'm really not that big of a fan of this game with the spread, but I don't like this week's games that much. The Browns won't be able to score that much. The only way they can win is if the Jets beat themselves because the Jets won't be physically overmatched like New England. The Browns are riding high after back-to-back wins over good teams. They won't be sneaking up on anyone. The Jets simply have a ton more talent than the Browns do that I'm confident they will win, hopefully by more than 3.5 points.
Jets 20, Browns 16