Sunday, October 3, 2010

Week 4 NFL Picks

After a 3-0 week, I sit at 7-2 on the year. Can't ask for games to be going much better right now, so follow me, and hopefully I keep picking winners.

Broncos +7 over Titans
Tennessee and Denver are too evenly matched teams to have this much of a discrepancy. Their 29-10 win last week was partly a mirage as they were outgained in total yardage and the Giants kept self-destructing. Denver can throw the ball, and Tennessee can be beaten through the air, especially without CB Jason McCourty playing. Chris Johnson will get his yards, but unless he goes crazy, this should be a close game.
Titans 24, Broncos 20

Giants -3 over Bears
I admit, Matthias Kiwanuka's injury worries me a little, but this is a great spot for the Giants. At 1-2, their backs are against the walls. They've been embarrassed the last two weeks, and it's time to put up or shut up. The Bears are 3-0, but coming off an emotional Monday night win, they will be a little flat against a desperate Giants team. The Giants can throw the football, and the Bears secondary is vulnerable. If the Giants can pressure Jay Cutler, he will turn the ball over, and the Giants will win this game.
Giants 31, Bears 21

Chargers -8.5 over Cardinals
I almost picked the Jets -5, but I didn't want to jinx it. San Diego is a team I usually fade early in the season, but coming off an embarrassing loss to Seattle, look for them to right the ship in a big way at home. Arizona is not a good team, and their secondary is ripe for the picking by Philip Rivers. The Cardinals lost their other road game 41-7. This won't be quite as lopsided, but it'll be close. Derek Anderson won't be able to keep up, and the loss of Steve Breaston as his underneath option will be big.
Chargers 31, Cardinals 13