I should just stick with my locks. I was 2-1 on those picks, and embarrassing on the other picks. So I'm just going to stick with the three, I've been over .500 two years running doing that. Let's have another winning week this week.
Jets +4.5 over Patriots
Me picking the Jets is never a good idea. But getting 4.5 points at home with the defense the Jets have is too good to pass up. This is going to be a close game. Most likely, it will be decided by 3 or 4 points. These teams should be pretty evenly matched, and this should be a field goal fest. The Patriots have a lot of weapons, but they are one-dimensional. The Jets will focus on stopping Brady, Welker, Moss, and his two rookie tight ends. The Jets actually ran the ball alright last week. If they stick with the run, and Sanchez plays just a little better, the Jets very well may win as I predicted. They're coming off a 1-point loss at home against likely a better team in Baltimore. I think they stay close with Baltimore and possibly even win.
Panthers -3 over Buccaneers
Carolina is a team that is much better when they have the lead. And against an inferior Tampa Bay team at home, they should be able to do what they do best: run the ball and stop the pass. DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart combine for the toughest running game in the NFL, and with both healthy, the Bucs will struggle to stop them. Throw in Steve Smith over the top, and the young Bucs will have a tough time on the road. The Panthers are also a very good team at providing pressure and stopping the pass, something Tampa will struggle with once they get behind. Carolina's not a great team, but they have a good formula for victory that a bad team like Tampa can't stop.
Panthers 24, Buccaneers 14
Broncos -3 over Seahawks
Seattle is coming off a surprising blowout home victory over San Francisco, but don't be fooled. Seattle is a team that is far better at home then on the road, and they could struggle with Denver's altitude. Kyle Orton isn't a great quarterback, but he finds the open receivers, and Seattle lacks playmakers defensively to make him pay. Offensively, the Seahawks really aren't that good: they struggle to run the ball, and their receivers are totally unproven. Even in victory, their stats were not very good at all. Denver needs to win this game. They will.
Broncos 24, Seahawks 17