Well, last week was ugly. 0-3 last week, and I'm now 18-18 overall this year. I've been over .500 all year long, and I don't plan on stopping now. I really like these three picks this week, so I'd be surprised if I went any less than 2-1.
Washington +10.5 over New Orleans
The Saints are coming off a high. They looked amazing on Monday night in one of the biggest games in the history of their franchise. Meanwhile, Washington's season has long been over. However, the Redskins would love nothing more than to ruin the Saints season. They have the defense to seriously slow down the Saints, and they might be able to force Drew Brees into a few turnovers and keep it close. They've played more spirited of late, and expect the Saints to start flat in the game like they were doing in October before picking it up and winning late.
Saints 24, Redskins 17
St. Louis +9.5 over Chicago
I hate picking the Rams, but they've been playing pretty hard lately behind Steven Jackson. The Bears should not be giving that many points to anyone the way their defense is playing. This is one of the few opponents the Rams can score against, and OJ Otogwe and the defense could force Jay Cutler into a couple mistakes. This is a play against Chicago more than for St. Louis, but I could see an upset here.
Rams 24, Bears 20
Tennessee +6.5 over Indianapolis
If you look at these teams just based on the last 5 games, you could make the case the Titans have been better than the Colts. Tennessee is in must-win mode every week, while Indianapolis can afford a let-down. If the Colts have a weakness, it's run defense, and Chris Johnson can run better than anybody. Vince Young can make some plays that Kerry Collins couldn't. I worry about the Titans' secondary, but they should stop the run, and if they don't let Peyton Manning explode, they could win, or at least force another Manning 4th quarter comeback.
Titans 31, Colts 27