Sunday, December 27, 2009

NFL Picks - Week 16

24-21 overall after a 2-1 week last week. Seattle lost outright, which was ugly, but my two underdogs both covered. One more winning week clinches a winning regular season.

Jacksonville +10 over New England
I leaned Jacksonville when it was at 7.5. I was planning on picking Jacksonville when it was at 8.5. Now it's at 10, and how can I resist? Are people watching the same Patriots team I am? Sure, they could explode on the Jaguars' passing defense, but that offense hasn't really clicked all year, and the defense isn't that good. Jacksonville has the offensive weapons to give New England trouble, and while they'll have trouble stopping Tom Brady, it's hard for me not to take a desperate team to be getting 10 points. Not to mention, Jacksonville has some extra rest.
New England 28, Jacksonville 21

Washington +7.5 over Dallas

The Cowboys get a big win in September, and now they're great again? I'm not buying it. Washington was just embarrassed last week, and this is their Super Bowl. The team is bickering, and there are certainly issues, but players still want to play, and they're a divisional home underdog. They have a big showing at home against the Cowboys before laying an egg out west against the Chargers.
Cowboys 24, Redskins 21

New York Jets +6 over Indianapolis

If Curtis Painter gets in this ballgame, the Jets will make him pay. Either way, the defense should be good enough to keep the Jets in it early, and then who knows? New York is desperate, and they play a lot of close games, win or lose. The Jets' defense is a big reason why, and it's why it's hard to predict a blowout, so getting almost a touchdown is a good deal.
Jets 16, Colts 7