Sunday, November 29, 2009

Week 12 NFL Picks

1-2 last week
18-15 overall

Bears +11 over Vikings
The Bears are an ugly team to pick at this point, but in a divisional game, 11 points is a lot to give. If Minnesota has a weakness, it's pass defense, particularly against the tight end. Greg Olsen has developed a better chemistry with Jay Cutler, and he will play a key role if the Bears have a shot. It also doesn't hurt that Adrian Peterson is ill and is questionable. He should play, but his illness combined with a minor ankle injury could slow him down enough to make the Vikings mortal.
Minnesota 27, Chicago 20

Texans +3.5 over Colts

What better way to come off a 1-2 week by picking a slumping Bears team, and by picking against a 10-0 team? The Texans' season is on the line this Sunday. They've lost two heartbreakers this season, one to Indianapolis, and one last week, and I expect them to be right there to the end in this one. The Colts secondary is banged up, and the Texans can take advantage of that. The Texans are coming off a short week, but I think they come out angry behind a raucous crowd to try to save their season. Will it be enough to beat Peyton Manning? I don't know, but it's a field goal game I think.
Houston 27, Indianapolis 24

Falcons -12 over Buccaneers
The Falcons are coming off two straight losses, but this is a great spot for them. A rookie quarterback in a hostile environment on the road is never easy. Just ask Matt Ryan. Ryan has been a much better at home than on the road in his two seasons. How good has he been? Try 11-1. I don't think the Buccaneers can stop Roddy White, Tony Gonzalez, and Michael Jenkins. I must say, I probably don't make this pick. However, I expect the Falcons to keep up the momentum and put up some points this week for a nice win.
Atlanta 31, Tampa Bay 13

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