Saturday, November 21, 2009

NFL Picks - Week 11

2-1 last week
17-13 on the year

3 straight winning weeks.

New Orleans -11.5 over Tampa Bay
New Orleans isn't at home, but Tampa will make them feel right at home. After two straight weeks against average teams, the Bucs now will meet their match against an offense that will be able to pick apart an overmatched defense. I'd be shocked if the Saints didn't score at least 4-5 touchdowns offensively, and an aggressive defense against Josh Freeman should be able to force an interception and score defensively. Tamps will score a little, but not nearly enough.
Saints 42, Buccaneers 21

New York Jets +11.5 over New England
I have no idea what I expect from the Jets in this game in terms of whether or not they win. I do know that they are being completely disrespected in this game. 1-5 in the last 6 is ugly, but as Rex Ryan likes to tell people, they were all close games. The Jets have won 2 straight against the Patriots, and they match up well against their northern rivals. Whether or not they can make the plays late in the game to win, no one knows, but the defense should be good enough to at least make it a single digit game.

Jacksonville -9 over Buffalo
I trust Jacksonville a lot more at home than on the road. They played well against the Jets last week, and now they face a Buffalo team that can't beat anyone through the air. The Bills are tailor-made for the Jaguars. Maurice Jones-Drew should have 125 yards, Mike Sims-Walker should make a big play or two, and the Bills don't have the firepower to keep up.
Jaguars 31, Bills 16

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