Sunday, October 18, 2009

Week 6 NFL Picks

After a 2-1 last week in which the Jets were the only ones to fail me (that's what I get for picking my own team), hopefully I can go 3-0 this week. My two underdogs last week, Cincinnati and Cleveland, both won straight up. I'm not quite as confident in this week's picks, but that's not an excuse. 9-6 on the year. Let's beat the bookies.

Jets -9.5 over Bills
Right back to the well! I'm starting to hate myself for picking the Jets so much here, but I really like this spot for New York. Buffalo is a total mess right now, looking worse every game. The letdown on defense last week was more of an aberration than a trend, and the Bills' struggles are real. Receivers mean little without an offensive line, and Rex Ryan should be able to get pressure on Edwards all game. Even though the sack totals are not there, they have the ability to get to the quarterback, ask Tom Brady. The weather worries me a little, and so does Jerricho Cotchery's injury, but the Bills weren't that good to start with, and now they are injury-laden. Buffalo won't score double digits.
Jets 24, Bills 6

Texans +5 over Bengals

Cincinnati has been really good to me this year, as I've already picked ad wo with them twice. This time, I'm going against them. Houston is going to open things up this week and put some points on the board. They'll hang right there with the Bengals, who are due for a letdown after back to back huge divisional wins. Cincinnati's young cornerbacks are building quite a name for themselves, but they have yet to face someone like Andre Johnson. The Texans have a ton of weapons, and they desperately need this game. I think they get it.
Texans 28, Bengals 27

Titans +9.5 over Patriots

This is a classic example of a game where the weather should play a big factor. Unlike Buffalo-New York, these two teams are fairly evenly matched in the trenches. Where Tennessee has gotten killed all season is through the pass. 25 MPH winds should negate that advantage, bring the total down, and keep the Titans in it. It's hard to pick the Titans to win this game, but if it's going to be a run-heavy game, Chris Johnson and LenDale White might have the advantage. If it were clear skies, I would predict Randy Moss to go off, but in this nor'easter, I don't think so.
Patriots 17, Titans 14

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