Thursday, October 1, 2009

Week 4 NFL Picks

I'm going to get this started a little bit early this week. 1-2 last week was a disappointment, but I'm still 6-3 on the year, and I really like these picks.

Denver +3.5 over Dallas
I was down on the Broncos heading into the season, but I was wrong. They are healthy now, and the defense is playing well. I know they didn't play a tough schedule, but they've allowed single digit points every game. Mike Nolan has really made a difference, and I expect the crowd to be fired up for a home game. Kyle Orton will protect the ball better than Jay Cutler would have, and Brandon Marshall is poised for a breakout. And what have the Cowboys done to deserve to be 3.5 point road favorites against a 3-0 team possibly without their top two runningbacks?
Broncos 20, Cowboys 14

San Diego +7 over Pittsburgh

These two teams seem to always play close games. As usual, both teams need the win, and both sides have a few injuries. Philip Rivers and Vincent Jackson is a dynamic duo that should be able to throw on the Steelers who are missing Troy Polamalu. The Steelers just lost two straight. Just because they lost two in a row doesn't mean they will destroy a very good Chargers team. Will the Steelers win? I don't know. Probably. But will they win by double digits? Probably not.
Steelers 20, Chargers 19

Giants -9 over Chiefs
This seems like a sucker bet. The Giants are the Giants, and the Chiefs are a mess, and it's still only single digits. The reason for that is because it's the Giants' third straight road game. But they are a veteran team who is coming off a virtual off week against Tampa Bay. The Chiefs' main offense weapon, Dwayne Bowe, probably will not be playing. The Giants will not beat themselves. The Chiefs will.
Giants 24, Chiefs 3

*I'm sure you're all impatiently waiting my Mark Sanchez video. My computer ran out of memory rendering it overnight, so it still has a few hours to go until I can start working on it. It will either be up tonight or tomorrow afternoon.

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