A 2-1 week last week brings me to 5-1 on the year. I really like the games this week, so let's get right to it.
Bengals +4.5 over Steelers
The Steelers are a good team, but they have a lot to prove in the trenches. Cincinnati fanns hate Pittsburgh and they are looking to beat them for the first time at home since 2001. The defense is playing very well, and Cedric Benson has been surprisingly solid. The Steelers have had a lot of trouble running the football in the past two weeks, and that's not going to change this week. This is going to be a tough football game between two teams who need a big divisional win. It should be close, and with the Bengals at home getting 4.5 points, I'm very confident they will at least cover.
Cincinnati 17, Pittsburgh 14
Texans -4.5 over Jaguars
The Texas were 12-4 at home the past two seasons before the Jets embarrassed them in front of their home crowd. The Jaguars have all sorts of problems in their secondary, and they are not built to come from behind. Andre Johnson should have a big game, so Maurice Jones-Drew won't be able to get as many carries as he needs. The Texans should put up a big number. Jacksonville won't.
Houston 31, Jacksonville 20
Cardinals -2.5 over Colts
Arizona in September is sure to be a tough place to play for Indianapolis. Coming off a short week to face a Cardinals team coming off a big win, the Colts could have trouble. The Colts have had all sorts of trouble stopping the run. Even Tim Hightower and Chris "Beanie" Wells should be able to run the football, providing much needed balance to their offense. The Colts' offense is good, but Peyton Manning is going to rely heavily on Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark because his other weapons are largely unproven. Indianapolis is banged up on both sides of the ball. The Cardinals impressed me last week, and I expect their winning streak to continue this week.
Arizona 31, Indianapolis 24