Sunday, December 21, 2008

NFL Picks: Week 16

25-17-3 on the season, and with that one win last week, I have clinched a winning season. Thank goodness. First year I put some picks on record, at least I started off well. But I want to get to at least 10 over .500 by the end of the year. I'm confident with these picks, and I'm hoping to go 3-0.

Lions +7 over Saints
I didn't have the stones to take the disaster that is the Detroit Lions last week, and I wish I did. Last week I didn't think they could win straight up, so I passed. This week, Detroit will WIN straight up. This game means nothing for New Orleans; their season is over. The Lions will want to win in front of their home crowd. How are the Saints giving 7 points on the road to any team in the NFL with that defense and their road record? Even if the Lions find another way to lose, they should cover the spread.
Detroit 38, New Orleans 37

Buccaneers -3.5 over Chargers
So a last second road win against the Chiefs is supposed to impress me? This line says that the Bucs are a slightly better team than the Chargers. Are you kidding me? Tampa is 9-5 and going to the playoffs if they take care of business in their last two games. San Diego has an outside chance at the playoffs, but they can't stop the pass, and they can't run the ball with LaDainian Tomlinson. This line is simply a gift. And did I mention it's a 1:00 game for a West Coast team?
Bucs 24, Chargers 13

Patriots vs Cardinals over 43
So one 9-5 playoff contender is facing a 6-8 Chargers team and another is facing an 8-6 division champion Cardinals team, yet the first team is favored by 4.5 more points. Strange. But I'm going to go with the total here because I don't totally trust Kurt Warner in bad weather. An Arizona game hasn't gone under 44 since week 4, and the Cardinals will throw all day against an average at best Patriots secondary. New England should be able to score at will, too. The weather could be a factor, but I'm not nearly as worried as many. Besides, if Warner struggles, he'll probably turn the ball over, giving the Pats some easy points.
Patriots 28, Cardinals 21

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