Saturday, December 13, 2008

NFL Picks: Week 15

2-1 last week. Hit the two NFC South games, lost my other game which I picked stupidly.
24-15-3 on the season still.

Jets -7.5 over Bills

This is a giveaway of how I think the game is going to go in my preview, but the Bills are completely lost right now. J.P. Losman is starting at quarterback for the second straight week, and that makes the Bills a much worse football team. After putting up 54 points on Kansas City, they came home (well, one in Buffalo, one in Toronto) and put up 3 points each in games against the 49ers and Dolphins. The Jets are going to be angry for this one, and the pressure is on. This is a must-win, and the Bills are a very weak team right now.
Jets 27, Bills 13

Arizona -3 over Minnesota
Arizona at home is usually money, and I expect that to be the case here. Minnesota is a team that does one thing great on defense and that is stopping the run. Unfortunately for them, Arizona won't be running the ball that much. The Cardinals will come out throwing to Anquan Boldin, Larry Fitzgerald, and Steve Breaston all day, and Minnesota may not be able to answer, especially with Tarvaris Jackson back at quarterback. I don't think that he's much worse than Gus Frerotte, but I don't trust him on the road. The Cardinals want better seeding. This game should help.
Cardinals 31, Vikings 22

Redskins vs Bengals under 36.5
I thought hard about taking Cincinnati, but I see them at +6.5, and I would need to get the full touchdown to take them here. Still, I don't see a whole lot of offense. Washington hasn't put up 30 points in a game all season long, and they've scored 10 or less in four of their last five games. The Bengals have gotten embarrassed for two straight weeks, but before that, they weren't playing badly, especially at home. I expect Clinton Portis to receive a heavy workload, but the Bengals run defense isn't that horrible (4.0 YPC allowed). I don't expect the Bengals to score more than 14, and I don't expect the Redskins to score more than 20.
Redskins 20, Bengals 14

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