Sunday, November 30, 2008

NFL Picks: Week 13

Last week: 2-0-1
Season: 21-12-3

Pretty impressed with my percentage of picks. I've been on fire the past few weeks. Have been very busy this week with work and Thanksgiving stuff, but I expect another plus week.

Panthers +3 over Packers
Sometimes you just have to look at the matchups. At 8-3 Carolina has had a great year, led by four straight 100+ yard games by DeAngelo Williams. This week Williams must be salivating to go against an awful Packers run D allowing 4.8 yards-per-carry. Carolina has been a little sketchy on the road, but while Green Bay needs this game to stay in the playoff hunt, the Panthers need this game to keep pace with Tampa Bay and Atlanta. Fresh off an extesion, I look for Chris Gamble to do a good job on Greg Jennings, and the Panthers can run the ball enough to win.
Carolina 24, Green Bay 21

Steelers and Patriots over 39
Pittsburgh will try to attack an overrated Patriot secondary with Santonio Holmes deep. New England has been vulnerable to a deep ball, and Holmes or Nate Washington could benefit. Matt Cassel has been on fire in this one, and he will be able to put up enough points to put this over. It's foolish to expect a pure shootout, but they should be able to put this over, and both teams really need this game.
Steelers 27, Patriots 20

Bills -7 over 49ers
San Francisco looked horrible last week, and now they travel to the East Coast for a 1:00 game, which have been money all year for the home teams. At 6-5 Buffalo needs to keep winning to stay in the Wild Card race, and if they jump out to an early lead, San Francisco might fold early. Still, on a cold day where there might be some bad weather, I'd much prefer to back the team used to the conditions. The 49ers will have trouble scoring points with big Marcus Stroud in the middle for Buffalo.
Bills 20, 49ers 9

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